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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 11:44 
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http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 231900.htm
also http://www.physorg.com/news11017.html

More failure to addre RTTM

"In the UK, for example, the installation of speed cameras, roundabouts (traffic circles) and other measures in the 1990s reduced the number of road deaths by 33.9%. The reduction of road deaths was similarly high in other countries where speed limits were reduced. Sweden experienced a 21% drop in fatal crashes, while the figure in Denmark dropped by 24%. In Victoria Australia, road death tolls have fallen by some 50% in the last 15 years. In Queensland, Australia, 2,500 speed cameras were introduced between 1997 and 2001, resulting in a 31% drop in fatal crashes.

The researchers found that following the introduction of speed cameras in the UK, the fall in case fatality -- the percentage of injured who are killed -- accounted entirely for the fall in road deaths. The authors ruled out an array of other suspect causes for the UK-US difference, including SUV's, trends in seat belt use, emergency care, and in vehicle-miles traveled. . "


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 12:40 
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Study indicates pigs could fly...

if they had wings.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 13:08 
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Are they claiming that air bags, traction control, abs, improved tyre technology, better structural integrity, heated windscreens, improved lighting, better instrumentation, improved seating and ergonomics and all the other vehicle engineering improvements have not contributed to any casualty reductions whatsoever?
Crash survivability of modern vehicles is so much better than even 15 years ago, or even 10 years.
More spin, lies and obfuscation in the name of, er, what exactly?


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 13:47 
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I remember a test on motoring program a few years back where 2 Renault Espace's were crashed together (offset front).

The two cars were a fairly new model and a previous generation one.

In the newer car the airbag didnt even trigger and the passenger cell was intact. With the older car the drivers door couldnt be opened and the "expert" comented that would not be any rush to get the driver out as he would have ben dead.

Funnily enough both cars impacted each other at exactly the same speed.

Perhaps if the govenment were really interested in saving lives they should offer incentives for us to replace older cars with new ones.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 14:43 
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diy wrote:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/02/060220231900.htm
also http://www.physorg.com/news11017.html

More failure to address RTTM

I just emailed the researchers of the study politely pointing that out, I won't hold my breath.....


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 20:18 
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http://www.safespeed.org.uk/forum/viewt ... 8&start=40

Now if cameras do curb deaths,why are two counties to research ways of making a "killer junction" safe , when cameras have failed to do that - Warks and Leics councillors say that ---best bit of anti scam i've seem for a long time.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 22:20 
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Following on from my last post

Here’s the reply from Elihu:
Elihu Richter wrote:
Dear [edited]: Thanks for your material. Your question is a good one, and the material you send is interesting but disconnected from the biophysical plausibility of temporal associations. Our thoughts and the data they are based on, are in our paper. Read our paper carefully, because you will see discussions of temporal fluctuations which coherently vary with trends in speed control in both directions. But more fundamentally, the findings in the UK are reproducible. See what happened in France and Australia where the same drops occurred as in the UK following speed Cameras. Any day now, our review of the epidemiology of speed will appear in Annual Reviews of Public Health which will discuss this graph.

I have provided his attachments for all to view (right click and save as):

http://www.geocities.com/supraman2954/U ... -final.pdf

http://www.geocities.com/supraman2954/j ... hcolor.doc

Comments?


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 22:34 
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Quote:
Your question is a good one, and the material you send is interesting but disconnected from the biophysical plausibility of temporal associations.

do they think that people will believe them just because they use nice, big scientific sounding words?

Quote:
See what happened in France and Australia where the same drops occurred as in the UK following speed Cameras.

errr, nothing happened other than a fat revenue stream for the governments concerned.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 22:54 
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:banghead: :banghead: :banghead:

http://www.safespeed.org.uk/forum/viewt ... 8&start=40


A major chance to prove that this is a lot of manure.


How many accidents since intriduction of cameras at Redgate .

Proof positive that camears don't make roads safer - on a plate direct from Highways Agency - i'll makeyou some sauce if you like - but this is the first break in the chain.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 23:26 
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smeggy wrote:
Following on from my last post

Here’s the reply from Elihu:
Elihu Richter wrote:
Dear [edited]: Thanks for your material. Your question is a good one, and the material you send is interesting but disconnected from the biophysical plausibility of temporal associations. Our thoughts and the data they are based on, are in our paper. Read our paper carefully, because you will see discussions of temporal fluctuations which coherently vary with trends in speed control in both directions....

Comments?

Do you think that you could email them and ask them if it would be possible to reply in English?

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 23:31 
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smeggy wrote:
Following on from my last post

Here’s the reply from Elihu:
Elihu Richter wrote:
Dear [edited]: Thanks for your material. Your question is a good one, and the material you send is interesting but disconnected from the biophysical plausibility of temporal associations. Our thoughts and the data they are based on, are in our paper. Read our paper carefully, because you will see discussions of temporal fluctuations which coherently vary with trends in speed control in both directions. But more fundamentally, the findings in the UK are reproducible. See what happened in France and Australia where the same drops occurred as in the UK following speed Cameras. Any day now, our review of the epidemiology of speed will appear in Annual Reviews of Public Health which will discuss this graph.

I have provided his attachments for all to view (right click and save as):

http://www.geocities.com/supraman2954/U ... -final.pdf

http://www.geocities.com/supraman2954/j ... hcolor.doc

Comments?


OH MY GOD!

Where on EARTH do they find these people?

They have the dates wrong. The word doc shows the big reductions in road risks on dates BEFORE there was even a SINGLE speed camera on UK or French roads (November 2004). The PDf say UK speed cameras were introduced in 1990. WRONG. Trials in 1992. Introduced in 1993.

Garbage. Just garbage.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 23:35 
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But, of course - 2 pratnerships can't be wrong - find an alternative - WHOA, WHY - could they be wrong??

Good PR FOR SS

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 01, 2006 23:58 
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smeggy wrote:
Here’s the reply from Elihu:


Will you pass me his email address please?

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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 01:03 
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pogo wrote:
Do you think that you could email them and ask them if it would be possible to reply in English?

To be fair, he is an Israeli!


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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 01:09 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
smeggy wrote:
Here’s the reply from Elihu:


Will you pass me his email address please?

PMed


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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 01:11 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
WRONG. Trials in 1992. Introduced in 1993.

Even then there were only a few cameras, not enough to make any significant difference nationally - not even for the next few years!


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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 01:56 
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smeggy wrote:
pogo wrote:
Do you think that you could email them and ask them if it would be possible to reply in English?

To be fair, he is an Israeli!

Granted... But it reads like an undergrad Sociology thesis! :lol:

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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 02:08 
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Yet again, in a so called scientific paper, there is no attempt to explain how speed cameras/speed enforcement had this miraculous effect.

Not sure what's to be gained by communicating with them. It's quite obvious that the conclusion was pre-conceived and they worked backwards from it.


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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 07:22 
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Looks like 'funny business' to me. See this graph from the report (note that the 1999 datapoint is in the 1998.5 position and so on):

Image

With speed cameras trialled in 1992,and introduced in 1993, it'd be reasonable to expect them to have 'little effect' before 1994. So we really should be interested in the period 1994 to 2004:

Image

But, oh look, the trend for that period does not suit their theory. Now why didn't they add some later data to their graphs and tables? I wonder? They can't claim the paper was finished 'years ago' because there are various 2005 references.

[note: I've graphed: (all fatalities) / (all injuries); they just did it for car occupants. It doesn't seem to make any difference, and I happened to have a spreadsheet with most of the data already.]

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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:39 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Looks like 'funny business' to me. See this graph from the report (note that the 1999 datapoint is in the 1998.5 position and so on):

I can't say I've ever studied it in great detail but everything I've read about the US states that raised their speed limits has said that there was a corresponding reduction in accidents. Is that the case or not?


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