SafeSpeed wrote:
This technique (basing strategy on real world fatalities) may seem 'obvious' and 'necessary' but it carries real risks. For a start fatal crashes are rare events. Often the fatality itself results from freak circumstances that will never be repeated. A better basis from a road safety strategy is to use injury crashes as an input, but if that's the case, then what's the benefit we get from investigating fatals (and potential fatals) in so much detail? Injury crashes are about 100 times more common than fatals, and usualy there's little or nothing in the preconditions that distinguishes a fatal from a minor.
You are absolutely right to point out the difference between a serious and a fatal accident. And it is one as that we as a panel tried to sort in our own minds - morally - before proceeding down the path we have.
In the end we came to this conclusion: what is the purpose of a road safety strategy? To minimise accidents overall? Or to minimise the number of fatalities? Given that the policy of the cross-authority partnership dedcided was to reduce fatalities, investigation of previous fatalities seemed a sensible place to start.
We also pointed out the discrepancies in reducing fatals to serious'es (seatbelt campaigns, enforcing tread on tyres, etc) in the overall accident rate - the policy however is: reduction in fatalities.
If we can spot trends in fatalities (as rare as they are) and address those, then we can start to make a positive contribution to the overall casualty rate. We decided that if we could not see a pattern in fatalities, then we would not pursue this line.
As I say, you would be surprised at the results. Client confidentiality and coroner privilege - regretably - prohibits me revealing publically the direct findings.
(FYI - I made them compare the previous
average 5 year fatality and accident rate to the 5 year overall target!)