JJ wrote:
Gizmo wrote:
fatalities nearly doubled to eighteen with eleven speed-related accidents
So are you forwarding the idea that they increase speeds or decrease speed compliance?
Please give reasons and evidence.
Im new here, Hi all!
I dont know anyone yet or who's who, but if I may give my opinion on the above, I would say on the whole they do neither.
It could be argued though that some drivers will want to make up lost time after having slowed for a camera, in which case they would do both.
Sorry I dont have hard evidence, only years of observation.
JJ wrote:
You will probably forward the argument that they are causing a distraction. Personally I don't believe that this is enough to cause the results picked for the article.
So are you saying you think they cause a partial distraction, but not enough to be dangerous? If not, what in your opinion is "enough" to cause the results? If the results have been picked, can you show stats for the other side of the story please?
JJ wrote:
I use the word "picked" as this is an example of the selection of normally varying fatal figures at a specific point to show an apparent increase.
Pot, kettle.
JJ wrote:
Recent examples are the apparent miracle in Durham with no change in enforcement strategy producing a 24% (off the top of my head) drop in fatalities
Well that says alot about the lack of effectiveness of camera partnerships, although I wouldn't call it a miracle, just common sense.
JJ wrote:
and the very careful choice of 2001 and 2002 fatality figures in Cumbria to show a rise in fatalities in 2003 and 2004, when the fatality figures are not outside of the maximum and minimum bounds of what was expected. This set against SS and members insistence that long term trends must be used to prove figures of significance.
I know nothing about how Cumbria enforce their speed limits, do they have a safety camera partnership as we have here in Somerset and do you know when it was introduced? If they do and it was 2002/03, that again would say a great deal about their lack of effectiveness.
You mention the bounds of what was expected, does this mean an increase in fatalities was expected?
These are fairly long term statistics, unlike the Wiltshire camera partnerships claims for the M4 last month!
Cheers,
Deeps