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PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 22:02 
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Civil Engineer wrote:
Exceeding a speed limit should not be an absolute offence in itself. This is one of my real hobby horses I'm afraid. I know that the result of what I have stated will be more effort being required to investigate and prosecute but so be it.

I posted something similar on the defunct CSCP forum some time ago, so this gets my vote.
Exceeding any limit safely - OK
Exceeding any limit unwisely - Dangerous Driving, or DWDC.
Driving in any manner likely to give rise to an accident - Dangerous Driving, or DWDC - the latter covering use of a mobile phone, and eating KitKats and apples!!

There IS a long established law which takes into account tailgaters, AND Middle Lane hoggers. It also catches people who deliberately drive through puddles and soak pedestrians. :o
It's Driving without due consideration to other road users.
In the old days of local magistrate courts, the BiB would bring a charge of DWDCtoRU's and the magistrate accepted that the BiB was correct. Nowadays you can rely on in car CCTV. IMHO this law should be used more often.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 22:23 
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Yes but drivers need to be spoon-fed. And it's clearer to state that something invokes a "technical offence" because it's easier to enforce laws on facts rather than opinion.

Thus: "you were driving holding a mobile phone" is a straight fact, compared with "I feel you were driving without paying full attention to the road" which is an opinion. Even if you remove the words "I feel" from that line it is still an opinion.

The same is true for speed limits. In this wonderful age of technology it would be great if we could have signs indicating what is a sensible speed at any given point on the road given the current road conditions, and one day maybe that will be possible, but in the meantime the only real way to enforce it is with fixed limits such that inappropriate speed can be enforced with straightforward facts ("you were travelling at 52 mph and the speed limit on the road is 40mph") even though given the current capabilities, 40mph can't always be the correct "limit" to represent safe driving at that particular moment.


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 22:28 
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stevei wrote:
goldminer wrote:
I wasn't aware of that Stevei. Where are the other situations where the right to silence is denied? If you study the Miranda law you will find that when the police caution you they say "you have the right to remain silent"

As I said, it's always the case when the police caution you - first they caution you, then they ask you your name and address. I agree that it is a bizarre situation as they have just told you about your right to silence, but if you remain silent they will take you to the police station and hold you until they have established your identity. It's still not as bad as the american caution which is the most bizarre choice of words imaginable. As for the ABD web site, given their comments on global warming I find it difficult to attach any credibility to what is on there - bear in mind they have a vested interest, just like the safety camera partnerships.


Yes, but that doesn't alter your right to silence. The police will hold you until they have established your identity (that's quite reasonable) and if you want to avoid that tell them your name and address - but you need say nothing more!

I'm not quite following your comment about the ABD site. Do I take it you are a believer in Global warming? (given that the ABD site debunks most of the myths perpetrated by the environmentalists) If that is the case it seems a little harsh to disbelieve other threads just because they don't agree with your convictions on global warming (I don't believe in it either)

You mention that ABD has a vested interest, I agree with you, their aim is to remove these camera obscuras from our roads and restore some sanity to the policing of roads - isn't that our interest too?

Regardless of the foregoing, the "right to silence" debate is a matter of record and, in my opinion, this right must be protected (and S172 revoked) We should all be supporting that aim. Remember this, big brother is both wise and cunning, he won't launch a full frontal assault on our liberties but he will chip away a piece at a time and once he's undermined the structure sufficiently it will fall down of its own accord!

Be alert (your country needs lerts)

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 22:44 
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Rigpig wrote:

When motorists make their way along our highways they do so in the knowledge that a speed limit exists. Thus, their actions must be affected by their knowledge of the limit, its (purported) purpose and the concept that it is unlawful to break that limit; the fact that many do so by various margins does not negate this observation.
Now, I accept that drivers don't set out to have accidents and attempt to avoid them through driving mechanisms which include speed correction where necessary. BUT, I find it extremely difficult to believe that if all speed limits became, in effect, advisory (because that is what it would boil down to) we would not see a rise in accident rates as, here and there inappropriate speeds are chosen.


This thread seems to be like a queue for U2 concert tickets. It extends faster at the end than it takes to get there!!. :shock:

but I had to stop here to applaud this earlier observation of Rigpig.
I think it is pivotal to intelligent policy and defines why we should be viewing offences with an experienced discretionary judgement, rather than at one extreme allowing complete freedom of choice, and at the other extreme a zero tolerance remote enforcement strategy with no environmental consideration.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 23:12 
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goldminer wrote:
Yes, but that doesn't alter your right to silence. The police will hold you until they have established your identity (that's quite reasonable) and if you want to avoid that tell them your name and address - but you need say nothing more!

Yep, rather like S172 in fact.

goldminer wrote:
I'm not quite following your comment about the ABD site. Do I take it you are a believer in Global warming? (given that the ABD site debunks most of the myths perpetrated by the environmentalists) If that is the case it seems a little harsh to disbelieve other threads just because they don't agree with your convictions on global warming (I don't believe in it either)

I won't go into an argument about whether global warming is fact or fantasy. Suffice to say that I believe it to be simple fact, and if the ABD are so biased as to want to attempt to construct an incredibly weak argument against it, then yes, I do have to conclude that they have a vested interest that is overriding everything else, and hence I can't attach any value to anything else on their web site.

goldminer wrote:
You mention that ABD has a vested interest, I agree with you, their aim is to remove these camera obscuras from our roads and restore some sanity to the policing of roads - isn't that our interest too?

No, that is not my interest at all - I'm interested in the truth, whatever it turns out to be. I see vested interests on both sides of the debate, drivers who are more interested in driving in a manner that ensures their personal comfort (by not driving at an uncomfortably slow speed) rather than ensuring the safety of others, and the speed enforcement brigade who are also prioritising their self-interest above safety. I try to not approach the subject from either side, I'm more interested in analysing any evidence presented by either side to see if it is valid or not.


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 23:16 
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stevei wrote:
I won't go into an argument about whether global warming is fact or fantasy. Suffice to say that I believe it to be simple fact, and if the ABD are so biased as to want to attempt to construct an incredibly weak argument against it, then yes, I do have to conclude that they have a vested interest that is overriding everything else, and hence I can't attach any value to anything else on their web site.

This is getting very off-topic, but many distinguished scientists are deeply sceptical about the anthropogenic global warming theory, and feel that the political pressure to present it as "simple fact" totally goes against sound science.

For a starter, see:

http://www.john-daly.com/

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 23:35 
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IanH wrote:
I think it is pivotal to intelligent policy and defines why we should be viewing offences with an experienced discretionary judgement, rather than at one extreme allowing complete freedom of choice, and at the other extreme a zero tolerance remote enforcement strategy with no environmental consideration.


This is a good point to introduce Sorites Paradox. This is the core of the problem. See what John Brignall has to say on his invaluable Numberwatch web site:
http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/2002%20March.htm#sorites

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 00:05 
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I seem to recall a few years ago a change in the wording of the right to remain silent.

Something in the nature of "it may harm your defence if you refuse to reveal information you later rely on in court".

Now of course if we could reduce real crime and bring law and order back then there'd be more police resources available to concentrate on traffic duty. In the meantime, I guess they are best placed at dealing with "real criminals" and leave the cameras to "police" the roads (albeit that they don't quite do the job up to standard).

While I do agree that many of the GATSOs are badly placed and are enforcing what is often arbitrarily low limits, there are too many people who speed, not by a little amount, but excessively. Yes 85% of us are within the 85-percentile, that means 15% are not. They are the ones that are on your backs when you are in the fast lane doing 53mph on a 50mph dual carriageway overtaking slow vehicles. The ones that do 95mph along the motorway - I know they do, I used to be one of those.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 00:08 
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By the way, I might be doing 53mph in a 50mph area because I feel if I'm going to overtake someone doing, say, 48mph, its a good idea to go at least 5mph faster than them so I can complete the manoeurvre in a reasonable amount of time.

So I am not against going slightly over the speed limit, and any GATSOs that enforce even the tiniest amount over the speed limit are crazy.

Someone doing 53mph in a 50 area should not be penalised. Someone doing 70mph should be.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 00:09 
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stevei wrote:
goldminer wrote:
Yes, but that doesn't alter your right to silence. The police will hold you until they have established your identity (that's quite reasonable) and if you want to avoid that tell them your name and address - but you need say nothing more!

Yep, rather like S172 in fact.

Sorry stevei, not like S172 at all! As I said before, you have the right of silence when the police interview/arrest/charge you. You are not obliged to say anything at all. When I said you could tell them your name and address I was merely suggesting it might save you a lengthy wait in custody while they sought identification, you don't need to tell them anything YOU HAVE THE RIGHT OF SILENCE. S172 denies you this fundamental right by requiring you to say who was driving your car at the time of the alleged offence. In other words you must incriminate yourself or face a charge of failing to identify the driver which is punishable by a similar fine and penalty points. The system relies on threats to obtain what is usually self incrimination!
goldminer wrote:
I'm not quite following your comment about the ABD site. Do I take it you are a believer in Global warming? (given that the ABD site debunks most of the myths perpetrated by the environmentalists) If that is the case it seems a little harsh to disbelieve other threads just because they don't agree with your convictions on global warming (I don't believe in it either)

I won't go into an argument about whether global warming is fact or fantasy. Suffice to say that I believe it to be simple fact, and if the ABD are so biased as to want to attempt to construct an incredibly weak argument against it, then yes, I do have to conclude that they have a vested interest that is overriding everything else, and hence I can't attach any value to anything else on their web site.

I can't really say anything to that comment. It sounds to me a bit like petulance. Is what you are saying "If you don't agree with me then you are wrong and I won't believe anything you say"?

goldminer wrote:
You mention that ABD has a vested interest, I agree with you, their aim is to remove these camera obscuras from our roads and restore some sanity to the policing of roads - isn't that our interest too?

No, that is not my interest at all - I'm interested in the truth, whatever it turns out to be. I see vested interests on both sides of the debate, drivers who are more interested in driving in a manner that ensures their personal comfort (by not driving at an uncomfortably slow speed) rather than ensuring the safety of others, and the speed enforcement brigade who are also prioritising their self-interest above safety. I try to not approach the subject from either side, I'm more interested in analysing any evidence presented by either side to see if it is valid or not.


Does that really sit well with your (seemingly unshakeable) belief in global warming? I would echo the sentiment in that I too am a seeker of the truth. My position is that I am not an environmental expert therefore I cannot come to any conclusion on the subject alone. I must look at the evidence put forward by both sides and make a judgement. This I have done and (obviously) came to a different conclusion to yours. I allow that I might be wrong in this (which is something that the other side never seem to do!) Only time will tell (possibly)

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 00:26 
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goldminer wrote:
I can't really say anything to that comment. It sounds to me a bit like petulance. Is what you are saying "If you don't agree with me then you are wrong and I won't believe anything you say"?


No, not at all. A difference of opinion is one thing, but when someone starts clutching at any straw they can find to promote a point of view that they have a vested interest in, then I don't see what credibility they can have. I didn't want to explore the specific matter of global warming in any more detail because this isn't the place for it, I'm just saying that given my views on the matter, the only logical path from there is for me, personally, to not attach any credibility to the ABD.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 00:35 
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stevei wrote:
goldminer wrote:
I can't really say anything to that comment. It sounds to me a bit like petulance. Is what you are saying "If you don't agree with me then you are wrong and I won't believe anything you say"?

No, not at all. A difference of opinion is one thing, but when someone starts clutching at any straw they can find to promote a point of view that they have a vested interest in, then I don't see what credibility they can have. I didn't want to explore the specific matter of global warming in any more detail because this isn't the place for it, I'm just saying that given my views on the matter, the only logical path from there is for me, personally, to not attach any credibility to the ABD.

Surely it is being very sweeping to dismiss everything a pressure group says because you disagree with one aspect of their policy.

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 01:14 
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stevei wrote:
I won't go into an argument about whether global warming is fact or fantasy. Suffice to say that I believe it to be simple fact, and if the ABD are so biased as to want to attempt to construct an incredibly weak argument against it, then yes, I do have to conclude that they have a vested interest that is overriding everything else, and hence I can't attach any value to anything else on their web site.

Assuming for the moment that they are mistaken about anthropogenic global warming, is that really a solid justification for believing that everything else they have to say is also wrong? Is having a vested interest a solid reason to doubt a person or group? Why can they not be wrong on one issue and right on another? Or all the others? It's a cliche I know, but a broken clock is right twice a day.

Looked at from another point of view, the AGW theorists have vested interests too (not least of which is tenure) and there's a sufficient amount of money involved to justify claims of a "Greenhouse Industry". Some seriously fragile straws have been grasped on that side of the argument as well (MBH 98, better known as the Hockey Stick, for example). Does that mean the environmentalist lobby is wrong in all other matters?

Nobody is entirely free of vested interests or the possibility of error, so we might as well forget they exist and examine each argument on its own merits.

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 01:19 
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PeterE wrote:
Surely it is being very sweeping to dismiss everything a pressure group says because you disagree with one aspect of their policy.


I agree with you Peter, nevertheless, it is a 'reality' that I'm continuously aware of whenever I'm doing Safe Speed work.

Suppose an organisation says 99 true and sensible things and also tells one lie. Once the lie is exposed the 99 come under immediate and intense scrutiny - trust has been blown.

But more than that (and closer to the original point) the 'one' doesn't have to be a lie - it can just be something that's perceived to be untrue.

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 08:51 
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Gatsobait wrote:
Assuming for the moment that they are mistaken about anthropogenic global warming, is that really a solid justification for believing that everything else they have to say is also wrong? Is having a vested interest a solid reason to doubt a person or group? Why can they not be wrong on one issue and right on another? Or all the others? It's a cliche I know, but a broken clock is right twice a day.

Okay, let's suppose they are mistaken. This means they must believe their own arguments, so lets follow through the implications. I go to their Global Warming Links page, which they refer to as the true scientific consensus. I ended up at this page:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainmen ... 105327.stm
I didn't search through looking for something to pick holes in, I just went through their site and looked at what sounded interesting. He says:
"I was extremely disappointed in the answer. They do computer simulations and conclude that this is of human origin. The difficulty that I have with that is that I simply don't believe computer simulations."
So let me get this straight - he doesn't believe the results of any computer simulation, purely because it is a computer simulation, and when presented with such findings, will always believe the opposite of the computer generated simulated findings to be the truth. It's simply laughable. So, if an organisation is mistakenly attaching credibility to such arguments, it calls into question their judgement to such a serious degree that yes, I believe it does call anything else they conclude into question as well.

Then we have another possibility to consider, that they are not mistaken at all, i.e. they are intentionally attempting to mislead, and if this were true, it would be even worse for their credibility.

And the broken clock analogy - I'm not going to start using one to tell the time just because it happens to show the right time twice a day, I'd rather use a more reliable source of the information.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 09:31 
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Stevei you are now doing what you criticise the ABD for.

You've taken a quote, the I don't belive computer simulations one and drawn all manner of conclusions from that in isolation. You believe that the ABD have vested interests and are scientifically naive regarding GW therefore you immediately conclude that the quote belies an underlying scientific ignorance exacerbated by ABD vested interests.

why was the quote made? was it a complete quote? was the quote in relation to weather and climate change or about computer simulations in general? How accurate are computer simulations? Why does the person hold that belief? What qualifies him to make it? What was the reasonong behind the quote? More importantly what was the thought process that sits behind the quote, given his personal experience and expertise has he arrived at a reaseonable conclusion? Is it pure devilment?

Now you claim to be a seeker of truth but can you honestly say you are impartial in your analysis of information or are you interpreting things to fuel your prejudices?


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 10:04 
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IanH wrote:
Rigpig wrote:

When motorists make their way along our highways they do so in the knowledge that a speed limit exists. Thus, their actions must be affected by their knowledge of the limit, its (purported) purpose and the concept that it is unlawful to break that limit; the fact that many do so by various margins does not negate this observation.
Now, I accept that drivers don't set out to have accidents and attempt to avoid them through driving mechanisms which include speed correction where necessary. BUT, I find it extremely difficult to believe that if all speed limits became, in effect, advisory (because that is what it would boil down to) we would not see a rise in accident rates as, here and there inappropriate speeds are chosen.


This thread seems to be like a queue for U2 concert tickets. It extends faster at the end than it takes to get there!!. :shock:

but I had to stop here to applaud this earlier observation of Rigpig.
I think it is pivotal to intelligent policy and defines why we should be viewing offences with an experienced discretionary judgement, rather than at one extreme allowing complete freedom of choice, and at the other extreme a zero tolerance remote enforcement strategy with no environmental consideration.

I should like to add that speed limits need to be wholly appropriate in order to have motorists accept them, and obey them..
Quote:
BUT, I find it extremely difficult to believe that if all speed limits became, in effect, advisory (because that is what it would boil down to) we would not see a rise in accident rates as, here and there inappropriate speeds are chosen.

The 20mph limit in Ambleside is a good example, AND the 30 mph limit which joins it. Each of these speeds is desirable under very few circumstances, not worthy of a statutory limit, which offends motorists.
This limit does more harm to the motorists respect for the law than any good which might arise.

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 11:58 
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civil engineer wrote:
Stevei you are now doing what you criticise the ABD for.

You've taken a quote, the I don't belive computer simulations one and drawn all manner of conclusions from that in isolation. You believe that the ABD have vested interests and are scientifically naive regarding GW therefore you immediately conclude that the quote belies an underlying scientific ignorance exacerbated by ABD vested interests.

why was the quote made? was it a complete quote? was the quote in relation to weather and climate change or about computer simulations in general? How accurate are computer simulations? Why does the person hold that belief? What qualifies him to make it? What was the reasonong behind the quote? More importantly what was the thought process that sits behind the quote, given his personal experience and expertise has he arrived at a reaseonable conclusion? Is it pure devilment?

Now you claim to be a seeker of truth but can you honestly say you are impartial in your analysis of information or are you interpreting things to fuel your prejudices?


I have neither the time nor the inclination to go through every single piece of information that they link to and write a full debunking of it. I just picked the above one to give here as a simple example, there are many more. I'm guessing that if I dared to suggest that we really did go to the moon, people would start directing me to that "Did We Land On The Moon?" tv programme. People can make their own decisions about these things, I'm just explaining my logical inferences stemming from my belief that CO2 released by humans will impact our climate. If you don't share my belief, you won't draw the same inferences.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 12:50 
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What you are doing is taking a small amount of information and extrapolating it to form a wider view.

As most people will know this is a fairly unreliable way to process data.

Specifically in this case, a quote from one individual (context unclear) and applying it to the whole organisation, his associates and any opinion that they may hold.

Interestlingly the SCP's contuct similar trend analysis when they claim 40% accident reduction at camera sites.

My interpretation from the small amount of information I have gleaned from you is that you have contradicted yourself during your last couple of posts. On the one hand you claim to seek the truth, yet admit that you don't have the time or inclination to see it through.

Not to make this a discussion about GW but maybe the suspicion arises when reasonable people question the 'we're killing our planet' mantra they are shot down in flames and condemned as heretics or luddites by the eco lobby. Politicians are scared to challenge it lest they're made out to be the spawn of GW Bush. As for the evidence how many polititians have seen the data and how many of those who have are qualified to challenge it???

Not for the first time we find a parallel here with the 'Speed Kills' lobby. A belief backed up by dubious evidence, and an industry built up around the premise that speeding drivers kill children, anyone who questions it condemed as a heretic, polititicans afraid for fear of being branded child murderers. bereaved families paraded as victims of speeder in the same way that the victims of natural disasters are paraded as victims of GW and therefore in both cases as victims of man's greed, selfishness and excess.

I guess the fundamental differnce between us is that if actions are going to be taken that impact on my personal freedom then I expect that the onus is on the legislators to prove the need not for me to disprove the need.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 13:42 
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stevei wrote:
Gatsobait wrote:
Assuming for the moment that they are mistaken about anthropogenic global warming, is that really a solid justification for believing that everything else they have to say is also wrong?

Okay, let's suppose they are mistaken. This means they must believe their own arguments, so lets follow through the implications.

No, let's not. This isn't about the quality or otherwise of their AGW argument, which I can't remember well and FAIK may well be as poor as you say. This is about whether it is reasonable to dismiss their other arguments because of that. I don't think it is. What if they said that having a handbrake is a good thing? Would you argue otherwise because you found their AGW arguments poor? Or to use another example, should an atheist assume that Newton's or Einstein's theories are worthless because of their religious beliefs? Or a more personal example: I am far from convinced by AGW theories for a number of reasons (and not because of the ABD either, there's better stuff elsewhere including the IPCC themselves :o ), so should I treat the arguments of the environmental lobby concerning deforestation, habitat loss etc. the same way? Of course not, and I don't.
stevei wrote:
And the broken clock analogy - I'm not going to start using one to tell the time just because it happens to show the right time twice a day, I'd rather use a more reliable source of the information.

I wasn't suggesting that you should. Only that if your watch says half twelve and the broken clock also say half twelve then it's fair to say that the clock is right about that particular point despite it's unreliablilty at other times. You don't have to make any assumptions about it being right in 60 seconds time of course :wink: and obviously you'd be crazy to do so. But it'd be just as crazy to assume that your watch will remain reliable indefinitely. All I'm saying is that each argument should be considered on its own merits, no more no less.

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