Pedestrians do walk out into the road from behind parked cars. (One way of preventing this is not to park cars on the road.) There is a whole raft of legislation there to protect them, one of which is the speed limit. You cannot say "I'm driving at a speed that I judge to be safe, but it's someone else's fault if they get hurt."
It is entirely false to suggest that the speed limit routinely delivers low pedestrian accident severity. Average impact speed are simply miles below speed limit thresholds. See:
- issued Fri Sep 29, 2006.
PR372: Road safety culture shock stage two. Not enough dead children.news: for immediate release
It is perfectly clear that people all over the country are re-evaluating their
opinions about road safety policy following revelations yesterday and today.
But we have only just begun back on the road to real road safety.
Television advertisements tells us (quite correctly, as it happens) "If you hit
me at 30 there's a 20% chance that I will die. If you hit me at 40 there's a
20% chance that I will live."
Department for Transport data published yesterday [1] tells us that 11,000
child pedestrians were injured in built up areas (30mph AND 40mph speed limits)
in 2005. We we should expect that more than 20% of those child pedestrians were
killed. Right? That's 2,200 dead children.
But reality is entirely different. 47 child pedestrians were killed in built up
areas, amounting to 0.47% of the total. That's one fiftieth of the implied
claim.
The real world behaviour that saves the children isn't 'sticking to the speed
limit' if it was we would have killed thousands. The real world life saving
behaviour is drivers slowing down in areas of danger and braking before impact.
But this is just the tip of the iceberg. In the real world, many minor crashes
are unreported, many more take place with no injury and are unreported and
countless thousands of incidents take place where appropriate driver behaviour
ensures that the child isn't hit at all. So we end up with something like:
Built up areas:
11,000 Child pedestrians injured and reported
20,000 Child pedestrians injured and unreported (estimate)
20,000 Child pedestrians hit but not injured (estimate)
200,000 Child pedestrians involved in 'near misses'. (estimate)
-----------------------------------------------
250,000 total incidents resulting in 47 deaths.
It doesn't even matter if the estimates are not very accurate. It is OBVIOUS
that a great many incidents take place with very few deaths because of drivers
responding to the situation ahead. This 'driver response' is at the true core
of road safety.
But if the DfT implied claim were true we would have 50,000 dead child
pedestrians, not 47.
And it doesn't even stop there, because a significant but unknown proportion of
the deaths are due to 'rogue drivers' - possibly disqualified, in stolen cars,
blind drunk, unlicenced, underage or whatever. The risk mitigation behaviour of
an 'ordinary' driver is even more effective.
Paul Smith, founder of the Safe Speed road safety campaign
(
www.safespeed.org.uk) said: "The Department for Transport calls it their
'20,30,40 message' I call it deliberately misleading. They think it justifies
speed camera policy, I think it damages road safety by forcing road users to
concentrate on the wrong safety factor."
"They trot out this rubbish because they are welded to a false belief system.
Let me tell them right now that false beliefs will not save lives."
"Department for Transport is not fit for purpose."
<ends>
Notes for editors
=================
[1] RCGB 2005 published yesterday (see table 24)