I missed this by Earl Purple earlier. Apologies for going off topic.
Earl Purple wrote:
Think exactly how 3rd party insurance on fuel tax would work? How would you make a claim?
I'd suggest modelling it fairly closley on the Australian Compulsory Thrid Party system, in which part of the "rego" (their version of the tax disc) covers 3rd party claims. I'm guessing that an Aussie injured in a collision makes a claim to whichever state provided the rego to the vehicle at fault, and that the insurance company involved would be determined from there. Here it would depend on whether the scheme was county, region, country or UK wide, and whether the government effectively became an insurer istelf or got one or more companies in to provide cover. But for simplicity's sake let's say it would be run by the government and claims came out of the DoT or Health Department somewhere.
Some changes would obviously need to be made. For one thing it might be desirable to provide full 3rd party cover, where the Aussie rego system provides 3rd party
injury cover only. If an Aussie chav (? - whatever they call 'em) writes off an expensive car and the owner walks away without a scratch then there is no cover provided by the CPT part of the rego. Another change is to put it on fuel rather than VED. Although there's no reason why it can't be put on VED the attraction of putting into the fuel duty is obviously that your 3rd party premium becomes proportional to the amount of fuel you buy and therefore the amount of driving you do. Also, a chavmobile will still be drivable without VED but won't go far without fuel. Not perfect, since it doesn't take account of varying risk according to driver ability/attitude, but I think it could be acceptable for low risk good drivers since they would know that all the bad ones do at least have cover, which ain't necesssarily so at the moment.
I'm not sure how long 3rd party insurance has been provided this way in Australia, but I think it's been some years. AFAICT it was the same earlier this year as when I was there in 2001, and I got the impression it was nothing new even then. If making claims had been a real problem I think it would have been binned by now.
Earl Purple wrote:
No more no-claims bonuses to protect so drivers might be more careless / take more risks (no higher premiums if you have accidents).
Since the idea is to eliminate uninsured drivers this seems unlikely to change. At the moment uninsured drivers don't have any NCD to protect anyway.
Earl Purple wrote:
Would there be an excess and if so how much? (There would have to be an excess of at least £200 and probably more to prevent the above, and then what if a driver were untraceable, eg they hit your car when it's legally parked then drive off?).
Yes, probably there would still have to be an excess, if only to provide a small stick to deter risky behaviour. Not sure how much it would be though. Too low and it provides too small a deterrent. Too high and it might just make skint drivers run off and buy another cheap car in the pub. I'd suggest making the excess slightly lower than the going rate for a throwaway banger, so maybe £200 would be a little high. Or not - I really don't know what the going rate for throwaway bangers is

. Anyhow, we want to make doing the right thing after a crash the path of least resistance from the point of view of the sort of person who is currently happy to drive without insurance.
It might be an idea to scale the amount of excess payable according to a driver's crash history in the same way that premiums are now (and still would be for privately bought insurance). Say £150 for less than 12 months since the last crash dropping £15 per year down to £75 for > 6 years? I don't know what actual times and amounts would be appropriate - just chucking numbers about really.
Earl Purple wrote:
Ok, so you'd probably want to also purchase insurance on your own vehicle (comprehensive cover) and for that premiums would vary, but remember that old bangers are often among the most dangerous cars.
Yes. Those who can only afford bangers will be the least likely to buy their own insurance on top, and their vehicles are also the least likely to be safe, and that's a problem that isn't going to go away with a compulsory insurance scheme. However, at the moment they're also the ones who are most likely not to bother with insurance at all, and the cars aren't any more or less dodgy than they would be with 3rd party cover in the fuel. So even though it can't tackle the actual physical risk we'd at least be better off than where we are now. I feel the only way to deal with dangerous cars is better policing. Perhaps any surplus revenue the government made from 3rd party insurance in fuel could be ringfenced into policing that, though I'm in two minds about encouraging them to make a surplus. Also it would mean that when many claims are made they might not make a surplus at all, and that might well be the sort of time when extra money needs to be spent on that very thing. Maybe it would be better to spend all the excesses on that instead. More collisions means more excesses mean more funds to chase wrecks.
Edited slightly after some Googling into the Aussie scheme.