Safe Speed Forums

The campaign for genuine road safety
It is currently Sun Oct 26, 2025 18:08

All times are UTC [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 3 posts ] 
Author Message
PostPosted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 14:59 
Offline
Member
Member

Joined: Sat Mar 05, 2005 18:38
Posts: 396
Location: Glasgow
Where do the government get the statistic of safety cameras saving 100 lives per year in the uk?

The claim is usually ~50% decrease in KSI at camera sites.
There are about 6000 cameras.
Assuming 4 KSI in 3 years at each site- call it 1 KSI a year before camera installation.
That is about 6000 Ksi.
Therefore 6000 drops to 3000 after cameras.
Dft statistics show ~ 1 killed to 10 SI (Dft stats.)
Therefore 3000 / 10 equals 300 deaths saved. Not 100.

Have I got something wrong?


Top
 Profile Send private message  
 
PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 20:11 
Offline
Friend of Safe Speed
Friend of Safe Speed
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 25, 2005 10:16
Posts: 7986
Location: Moved to London
The figure seems to account somewhat for RTTM. It won’t of course account for effects of 'bias on selection'.

_________________
Views expressed are personal opinions and are not necessarily shared by the Safe Speed campaign


Top
 Profile Send private message  
 
PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 20:55 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sat Mar 06, 2004 06:46
Posts: 16903
Location: Safe Speed
fergl100 wrote:
Where do the government get the statistic of safety cameras saving 100 lives per year in the uk?

The claim is usually ~50% decrease in KSI at camera sites.
There are about 6000 cameras.
Assuming 4 KSI in 3 years at each site- call it 1 KSI a year before camera installation.
That is about 6000 Ksi.
Therefore 6000 drops to 3000 after cameras.
Dft statistics show ~ 1 killed to 10 SI (Dft stats.)
Therefore 3000 / 10 equals 300 deaths saved. Not 100.

Have I got something wrong?


I don't know why it doesn't quite fit. I'll look into it.

_________________
Paul Smith
Our scrap speed cameras petition got over 28,000 sigs
The Safe Speed campaign demands a return to intelligent road safety


Top
 Profile Send private message  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 3 posts ] 

All times are UTC [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You can post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group
[ Time : 0.030s | 11 Queries | GZIP : Off ]