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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 09:39 
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I notice many of these looong posts are during the day. Is everyone retired accept me? :lol:

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PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2007 01:22 
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Barkstar wrote:
Paul_1966 wrote:
Non-inertia 3-point belts which are adjusted to a snug fit are certainly going to restrict free movement, as are the locking reel lap belts of the type where as soon as they retract by the smallest amount cannot then be re-extended until wound all the way back again.


Paul_1966 wrote:
They may not be fitted to cars being manufactured today, but they are still in service on older vehicles and their use is still mandated by law.


The last - and only - car I had with non-inertia 3 point belts was 20+ years ago and was of 1972 vintage Hillman Avenger (with drum brakes all round!!). IIRC they disappeared in the early 70's when there became a requirement that seat belts could be put on with one hand.

There will be very very few daily runners that still have non-inertia and classic cars and US imports generally do a lot fewer miles. In terms of this argument it's pretty pointless discussing anything other than the inertia belts that just about all vehicles in regular use have. Otherwise it's like discussing house lighting and insisting we take gaslights, oil lamps and candles into account :roll:

Barkstar


A lap belt in the centre rear seat was still acceptable fitment until a few years ago. There will be plenty of cars like this still on the road for some years to come. That said I still agree entirely with your main point because not many accidents will involve occupants in that seating position and it is a number that will naturally reduce with time.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2007 18:17 
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RobinXe wrote:
system-wide, only one fifth of occupants are not wearing their seatbelt at any one time (average figure for all occupant types of cars and vans for Oct 06), yet one third of serious injuries involve an unbuckled occupant. This is known as over-representation and, given the balancing effects of a large sample-set on extraordinary factors, points strongly to seatbelts being of positive effect to road safety.


Yes, the larger the sample set the more likely it is that the figures will show overall effects, and on the basis of the simple one-fifth/one-third comparison your point would appear proven. But how is the raw data acquired and processed? For a start, what determines whether an injury is classified as serious or non-serious for inclusion? Do all investigating authorities use the same standard?

None of which is relevant to the basic point that the government has no mandate for forcing somebody to do something for his own good anyway.

smeggy wrote:
It seems clear to me that you don’t understand over-representation and under-representation. I could reply by saying:
how many people who do buckle up have not been killed and have never been injured because of that?


Precisely my point against your argument over numbers.

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The fact is that, statistically, for 2005, there is an almighty correlation between non-belters and fatalities. Would you agree?


Almighty correlation? No. If non-belt users were 10% of vehicle occupants and represented 90% of fatalities, then I think you might be able to apply that adjective (although there would still be room for argument about other factors). I would say there is some apparent correlation.

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What you say could well be true and is happening to some extent (some drunkards forgetting to belt up), but the level of over-representation strongly suggest that behaviour doesn’t nearly account for it. Would you agree?


Possibly, if the number of cases examined were large enough.

Quote:
I interpret a fall within the trend spreadsheet Paul Smith gave earlier in this thread (for 1991 too).


Yes, I have acknowledged that the graphs show a drop from 1982 to 1983. But given the way you are claiming that belts are so good at saving lives and serious injuries, and given the huge jump in wearing rates quoted when the law was introduced, just where is the corresponding "alimighty" drop in the injury/fatality figures?

And I repeat this question: Given that the belt law coincided with a huge campaign against drunken driving, how can you attribute any noticeable fall in the figures to belts alone anyway? And how do you account for the fact that seat belts -- if they were responsible -- were remarkably selective at saving people more during the late night/early morning than at other times?

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I repeat: seatbelt design probably wasn’t as good in 1982 as they are now; also, at that time people were being forced to doing something they didn’t usually do. Both these factors are less significant today. Would you agree?


On the latter point yes. On the former, what has really changed that much about seat belt design in the last 25 years? Pre-tensioners on some models now is about the only thing which springs to mind.

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Would you allow people the right of choice where the 'wrong' choice will result with needless pain/death of others?


I think that's a rather broad question to answer easily. There are all sorts of things where one could argue for restriction of freedom on the grounds that a person's actions might result in harm to other, however indirectly.

Barkstar wrote:
The last - and only - car I had with non-inertia 3 point belts was 20+ years ago and was of 1972 vintage Hillman Avenger (with drum brakes all round!!). IIRC they disappeared in the early 70's when there became a requirement that seat belts could be put on with one hand.


I think that may have been around the changeover point to 3-point inertia belts for outboard front seats in most parts of the world. I had a '72 Pontiac in which the driver and outboard front passenger belts were in two sections -- A locking reel lap belt plus a separate manually adjustable shoulder strap which could be clipped into the lap-belt buckle if required, or just stored in a ceiling holster if not wanted. (The middle front seat was just an adjustable lap belt.)

Quote:
There will be very very few daily runners that still have non-inertia and classic cars and US imports generally do a lot fewer miles.


I don't dispute that, but the seat-belt law does not make an exemption for these cases, so they should be taken into consideration.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2007 18:26 
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Mole wrote:
A lap belt in the centre rear seat was still acceptable fitment until a few years ago. There will be plenty of cars like this still on the road for some years to come.


On my daily runabout I only have lap belts in the outboard rear seats as well. That's a 1987, and still likely to be in use a good many years from now.

There are still plenty of 20+ year old British cars in daily service as cheap family transport which have no rear belts at all.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2007 01:46 
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What's "plenty" as a percentage of the National fleet, would you say???

Of that "plenty" what proportion of the annual fleet's mileage do they do these days?

When you say "plenty", would that be "plenty" in the same sense as the "plenty" of accidents where the belts caused the death of the occupants who would otherwise have hopped out little the worse for their experience? :wink:


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2007 01:58 
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Paul_1966 wrote:
On the former, what has really changed that much about seat belt design in the last 25 years? Pre-tensioners on some models now is about the only thing which springs to mind.



Geomety has changed significantly to improve access to the belt and buckle and wearer comfort.

Upper anchorages on front seats (and some rear) are now commonly height-adjustable - again for comfort.

Rear seats now need three-point belts for all positions in mass-produced cars.

Belts now need to be capable of restraining a standardised child seat in terms of webbing length and anchorage geometry.

Better retractor mechanisms have evloved so that they lock quicker in the right circumstances but are less likely to lock on slopes or when people try to put the belt on.


And then there were the changes brought about by the increasingly common fitment of airbags:

Pre-tensioners, you've already mentioned.

Peak load limiters are now increasingly common on at least front seat belts.

"Grabbers" are also becomming a common feature so as to limit the amount of webbing that pulls off the retractor after it has locked.

"Intelligent" belts are starting to appear - that feed information to the airbag trigger about the likely size of the wearer and enables the amount of charge to be re-calculated accordingly.


...and so on.

As they say, "every little helps" (well, if you use them, that is)!


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2007 13:46 
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Mole wrote:
What's "plenty" as a percentage of the National fleet, would you say???

Of that "plenty" what proportion of the annual fleet's mileage do they do these days?


I have no idea of the figures. All I can tell you is that around here you won't have to go far to see vehicles 20+ years old on the road in daily use for shopping, school runs, travel to work, etc. Maybe it's different in richer parts of the country.

Point taken about some of the other changes in belt designs, but that doesn't alter the basic point that the law mandating use still applies to all fitted belts, whether the latest all-singing, all-dancing model or a 1960s lap belt.


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2007 11:58 
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Lol is he still trying to push this daft idea? :roll: :P

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