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PostPosted: Sat Nov 11, 2006 21:53 
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True enough - I brought to their attention my brother who lost fingers and bone in an accident, and was off work for 18 months, my own accident where I fractureds a pelvis, and was out in 8 days, and a colleague who was sent to hospital for observation because his helmet had a big gouge in it, and after a night on the ward and a barrage of tests was allowed home yet ALL could have been classified as an SI.

As to safety features becoming overwhelmed - take seatbelts as an example.
They prevent you coming into contact with the wheel or screen - and backseat passengers are secured too nowadays, saving impact from other passengers. However, once you achieve a high enough impact speed, the seatbelt helps kill you - just before the dash would have done.
Air bags - hit them hard enough, and they might as well not be there.

We need somebody from the fire brigade here to tell us which cars are the ones in which people die most - old or new, hatches or saloons. Then we MIGHT start to see a pattern we might not have noticed otherwise.

It's worth noting too, that younger drivers and occupants seem to experience the most horrific crashes. Perhaps a combination of inexperience in selecting appropriate speed, and older more affordable car with less of those features we have outlined, coupled with lack of expertise in avoiding incidents.
The final part of the equation is young people grab the attention of the press in reporting them too!

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 11, 2006 23:35 
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Really hard to separate out the relevant factors.

In the early days of ABS, there were a number of studies that showed cars fitted with ABS were AT LEAST as likely to be involved in accidents as those without.

But of course, in the early days, cars fitted with ABS were also generally the fastest cars too! I think there is a similar study showing that "grey imports" are more dangerous than "legitimate" ones. But then, a lot of grey imports are very quick too, and are bought / driven (not surprisingly), by people who want to drive quickly!


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PostPosted: Mon Nov 13, 2006 12:23 
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The one and only statistic which can't be fudged, 'spun', manipulated or 'artificially adjusted' is the one for fatals.
However much justification is required to ensure job-preservation, cash-collection and political activity, the fatals are an absolute figure confirmed by the inquests and this can never be 'adjusted'.
The NHS has said already that the true levels if SI have not really altered, so it's the methods of accounting them which have been manipulated. Had this manipulation not been put in place, then the media would have crucified the Pratnership long ago, but their ability to produce apparently good SI figures, despite many more dying, is what enables them to continue.
To call this a disgrace is putting it mildly and one must really wonder what sort of persons can take their salaries for doing their jobs so badly. Still, it's the sort of society in which any job where accountability is not required, or where apparent success can be claimed from abject failure, is OK so long as the salary continues to go into the bank every month.
How do 'Charlahan' and his lickspittles sleep at night whilst presiding over these deaths and making no contribution whatsoever to road safety or society?


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PostPosted: Mon Nov 13, 2006 12:42 
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Cooperman wrote:
The one and only statistic which can't be fudged, 'spun', manipulated or 'artificially adjusted' is the one for fatals.
However much justification is required to ensure job-preservation, cash-collection and political activity, the fatals are an absolute figure confirmed by the inquests and this can never be 'adjusted'.


Not true, unfortunately. There's rom in the deaths figures too. The following are excluded:

- Deaths more than 30 days after the crash
- Deaths due to murder or suicide
- Deaths due to medical reasons before the crash (e.g. a heart attack at the wheel)
- Deaths due or partly due to medical blunders or hospital acquired infections arising during post crash treatment.

(I think there are a couple more, but I'm working from memory)

There are clearly opportunities for judgements or fudgements in several of these categories. :(

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 13, 2006 13:02 
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Cooperman wrote:
To call this a disgrace is putting it mildly and one must really wonder what sort of persons can take their salaries for doing their jobs so badly. Still, it's the sort of society in which any job where accountability is not required, or where apparent success can be claimed from abject failure...

Are we talking about all areas of politics and senior civil service here? Perhaps it is a top down thing, where Government ministers set the examples and everybody else follows.


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PostPosted: Mon Nov 13, 2006 13:59 
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When I was young, if senior gov't figures f****d-up, they would immediately resign. John Profumo comes to mind, although there were others. Anthony Eden went shortly after the Suez fiasco which, in it's way, was not too different from the Iraq shambles, except that we were 'in-bed' with the French and the Israelis, not the Yanks.
Now, our politicians don't seem to have any integrity. They lie, cheat, obfuscate and there never seems to be any motivation for them to resign when caught. Look at Prescott, the ultimate buffoon, who keeps his job despite being involved with the Dome Casino fiddle.
It is not surprising, then, when others in public positions do likewise. It may be expected really. Clearly the Cash-Camera Pratnerships who, in truth, must know that their jobs are a farce, continue to take the money and tell lies to maintain their positions. After all, they are just emulating their political masters.
How can we change all this. A change of gov't for 'Call me Dave' probably won't make a jot of difference in the short-term, although Thatcher did exhibit a sort of raw honesty as was seen in the Michael Heseltine case.
Are any current career politicians truly honest and anxious to serve the nation? It does seem unlikely.


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PostPosted: Tue Nov 14, 2006 00:32 
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SafeSpeed wrote:

- Deaths more than 30 days after the crash

:(



Hmmm. So how come CSCP can publish KSI figures for (say) June BEFORE the end of JULY? Suppose someone seriously injured on the 15th of June, dies on the 10th of July?


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PostPosted: Tue Nov 14, 2006 00:40 
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Mole wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:

- Deaths more than 30 days after the crash

:(



Hmmm. So how come CSCP can publish KSI figures for (say) June BEFORE the end of JULY? Suppose someone seriously injured on the 15th of June, dies on the 10th of July?


With the small numbers in an area like Cumbria, it may well be known that no one remains in a critical condition.

Or it may be legitimate to issue 'provisional' figures.

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PostPosted: Tue Nov 14, 2006 03:45 
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Some while ago I came up with a spreadsheet model that predicted an increase in fatalities and a reduction in SIs with cameras due to a change in average crash speed profile due to a change in concentration facotr (thanks to cameras).

I forget where I got to on that, but I must resurrect it. This fits I think.


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PostPosted: Tue Nov 14, 2006 16:01 
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Roger wrote:
Some while ago I came up with a spreadsheet model that predicted an increase in fatalities and a reduction in SIs with cameras due to a change in average crash speed profile due to a change in concentration facotr (thanks to cameras).

I forget where I got to on that, but I must resurrect it. This fits I think.

There is a danger of assuming "if the cap fits - where it", :oops:

I suspect the reasons are a many, combining to produce an overall effect.
Hence the annual figures changing all over the country from time to time.
Last year Cumbria was down on Fatals... but now we are back up to "normal".
Was that reflected nationwide? It has been in the past.
I'm sure the late snows made people more careful this year than last, while rain and fog are the real "killers" as far as conditions go - e.g. Plumpton - heavy rainfall.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 16, 2006 00:23 
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mpaton2004 wrote:
Actually it doesn't, at ~500' QNH it's autopilot all the way baby! :)


And could any Tom, Dick or Harry jump in and figure out how to engage the auto-pilot - assuming he had a couple of hours on Microsoft flight simulator, or years with his finger hovering over the nuclear button (with numerous failsafes in the hands of others)? :lol:

I see SOMEBODY has had a result with the Nes and Star today....
http://www.newsandstar.co.uk/opinion/viewarticle.aspx?id=434745
Quote:
road deaths
Published on 15/11/2006

Speed cameras do not work

I CONSIDER myself to be a relatively ordinary motorist.

I mostly drive a modestly powered diesel “people mover” and I have three children.

I think I can safely say that I want Cumbria’s roads to be safe as much as anyone does.

But am I alone in feeling shock on reading the article on the Cumbria Safety Camera Partnership (News & Star, November 8)?

While the number of people killed on Cumbria’s roads this year looks set to exceed last year and the year before considerably, Kevin Tea from the Safety Camera Partnership appears to be looking for a pat on the head because the number of “serious injuries” has fallen.

Perhaps this is an appropriate time to remind Mr Tea that both deaths and serious injuries were falling before Cumbria Safety Camera Partnership started its operations.

The only change that appears to me to have come about since the start of this operation is a rise in deaths.

Whatever positive difference the Partnership claims to have made could just as easily be attributable to advances in car design and better road layouts.

This year has seen the closure of every lay-by in the notorious Cumberland gap.

This measure on its own could easily account for a reduction in deaths or serious injuries and it is by no means the only improvement to have been carried out at a black spot.

Perhaps, also, it might be useful to probe the “serious injury” statistics in a little more depth too. What constitutes a “serious injury”?

In fact, who decides the severity of an injury, and when?

I feel the time has come where we need to accept that the current approach is not working.

Since 2003, countless ordinary motorists have suffered at the hands of the CSCP and for what?

It is quite obvious that some accidents are caused by excessive speed and others are exacerbated by it but the plain facts are that the speed camera is an incredibly blunt instrument.

How many times have we heard stories of district nurses or vicars being caught for 35 in a 30 or reps being caught for 79 on a clear, dry M6?

I feel our best chance of improving road safety lies in the traditional approach that (until cameras became the authorities’ weapon of choice) was delivering steady year-on-year casualty reductions.

I think we need more properly trained and equipped police traffic patrols.

The only problem I can see with this approach is that properly trained and equipped traffic police cost money whereas camera vans make money.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 16, 2006 00:48 
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Take a bow Ian Hopley of Lamplugh - that was a beautifully put together letter.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 16, 2006 01:32 
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JT wrote:
Take a bow Ian Hopley of Lamplugh - that was a beautifully put together letter.

I wasn't going to mention his name for fear of embarrassing him here! :lol:

It's more constructive than this one, but at least somebody is making the effort...
Quote:
road deaths

Published on 14/11/2006

Make speeding unacceptable

AFTER yet another week of tragic deaths on roads in our region, it is surely time for some long overdue action.

We all cherish the idea of freedom and the right to drive where we like – and often how we like.

However, the nightmare of losing a loved one is creeping statistically closer, seemingly every day.

I’m seeking to be deliberately controversial here.

I don’t want to pre-judge any of the present investigations into recent accidents, but I lay the blame for many of the serious accidents and deaths squarely on the shoulders of young drivers.

They are often male, under the age of 25 and drive small cars.

The driving standard is poor to abysmal and each day I, and doubtless most of the residents of Carlisle and region, see someone driving unwisely. What do we do? To be frank, we do nothing.

We hope, sometimes, that the police will pull over poor drivers, but the police cannot be everywhere.

This week, my latest experience of rubbish driving (and there is no other term for it) was in, of all places, Tesco car park.

A young driver roared into the car park with a screech of tyres and dislodged his exhaust on a bump.

He not only endangered himself and his passenger but also the lives of shoppers.

To lose your life through no fault of your own on the roads is a terrible tragedy.

To lose it in a Tesco car park pushing a shopping trolley would be utterly ridiculous.

The answer may lie in part to increased police action.

However, as a local community, it’s time to make it plain that reckless driving is anti-social behaviour.

We need to be telling those we know personally that it’s not big and it’s not clever to use the roads as a personal race track.

I’m all in favour of personal freedom, if you want to own and drive a powerful car, I have no problem with it.

What I do have a problem with is living with the knowledge that when my wife and young children travel on roads like the A6, they risk a head on collision with a young driver who has lost control of his vehicle.

I’m not advocating any form of direct action or confrontation of bad drivers by the public.

However, enough is enough. I’m not prepared to sit back any longer and tolerate the present death rate.

I’ll be noting numbers of poorly driven cars and forwarding them on to the police. Call me a spoilsport. So be it.

David Price

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 18, 2006 20:44 
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Ernest Marsh wrote:
Here is my effort...
Quote:
Dear Sirs.
I really do not know how Cumbria "Safety" Camera Partnership has the gall to claim any sort of credit for the reduction in serious injuries, while fatal accidents continue to remain high - proving that they remain ineffective at addressing the real causes of accidents.
For Kevin Tea to then go on to contrast the affect of long term care of victims who survive, and the affect to the NHS, against the grief and shock caused by the loss of a relative, is crass and insensitive! He appears to be suggesting that long term care is more lasting and disturbing than a death, and therefore reducing such injuries is more worthwhile!

The truth is that as time passes, we are seeing less and less older cars, which don't have any of the raft of in car safety measures - such as seatbelt tensioners, air bags, side airbags and impact protection. Look around any carpark, and you will see the number of vehicles fitted with at least one of these safety features is much higher than 4-5 years ago. These are very worthwhile safety features, which would not be fitted unless the manufacturers felt the expense was justified. When in a few accidents, the closing speed is high enough, these features are stretched to the limit, and the catastrophic failure which eventually results inevitably leads to an injury likely to be fatal.

Mr Tea also provides evidence of measures which are more effective than speed cameras at preventing accidents... and has the cheek to include an agency whose only device is the SPEED camera. “We try to target several areas including mobile phones, seatbelts and speed awareness training." and yet the CSCP continue to pointlessly persecute drivers whose affect on the safety of our roads is limited to just 5% of accidents (DfT figures!) with... SPEED cameras, which are NOT safety devices!

Finally, I have to question the accuracy and worth of the market research, which has 66% of respondents agreeing to a questionable statistic - "Fewer accidents happen on roads where cameras are installed" which is the result of cameras being placed where there have been accidents. For instance had a planned camera been placed at Plumpton before the dreadful crash there, it would not have prevented the unfortunate accident from occurring, because as I understand it, the driver was inexperienced, but NOT exceeding the legal speed limit! If a camera was to be placed there now, then Mr Tea could claim that his activities were responsible for preventing further accidents from occurring when this would clearly not be the case! It is called "Return to the Mean" (RTTM) and is akin to claiming that providing more lifeboats prevented further loss of life off Newfoundland from large ocean liners striking icebergs, when clearly the Titanic disaster was a one off event not repeated!

82% of respondents agreed (i.e. did not arrive at that conclusion by themselves) that "safety" cameras should be supported as a method of reducing casualties.Yet DfT figures show illegal speeding is only responsible for 5% of accidents, while speed cameras have seen a 21% fall in traffic police numbers, a fall in prosecutions for Dangerous Driving of 7.4% and prosecutions for Careless Driving halved!! This too should have been brought to the attention of the survey participants.
Worst of all, if the grim reaper himself drove past a camera in excess of the speed limit, HE WOULD NOT BE STOPPED, but allowed to continue on his way, with only a reminder in the post a few days later to remind him!

It all adds up to Fleecing, not Policing, and Mr Tea will be duty bound to defend his well paid job and pension, with statistics (plucked at will by a full time statistition) to bamboozle the public into thinking they are effective!

FIFTYTWO victims have died already this year, MORE than died in 2001, or 2002, before we had SPEED cameras run by the "SAFETY" CAMERA Partnership!

E. Marsh


Congratulations Ernest! I see it was in the News & Star today - AND with a photo of a speed camera too! Really good coverage!

Be interesting to see if there is any backlash from CSCP over the next few days...

(As an amusing aside, I drove past a Transit lying on its side on the A5086 today on the wat into Cockermouth to go and get the paper)! Nobody hurt - the driver and his mate were at the side of the road warning people of its presence.


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PostPosted: Sun Nov 19, 2006 01:19 
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:readit: Come on Safespeeders, get tackling your local press too, and keep up the pressure! :typing:

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