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PostPosted: Wed Jun 27, 2007 15:28 
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gopher wrote:
Edited for accuracy, we must remember that we only produce a small part of CO2 compared with nature. (3% IIRC)

You're right to highlight the AGW factor.

Do you have a source for the 3% figure? If true it should be quite damning.


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 27, 2007 16:02 
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smeggy wrote:
gopher wrote:
Edited for accuracy, we must remember that we only produce a small part of CO2 compared with nature. (3% IIRC)

You're right to highlight the AGW factor.

Do you have a source for the 3% figure? If true it should be quite damning.


Not to hand sorry, I think TurboBloke posted it a number of times on PH and he usually backed up his posts with references. I'll take a look after work if needs be.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 27, 2007 16:40 
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vistaed wrote:
ummm...

I include below some references regarding my statement regarding funding by the oil lobby.

But also ask:
What has the green movement got to gain?
What has the oil lobby got to gain?
And who really has the greatest personal vested interest in winning this argument?

Probably governments... As it is they who are responsible for most of the funding for climate research.

"Climate Change" has to be the greatest potential bonanza for taxation and control of society since the invention of politics, after all who's going to argue about paying a bit more tax or accepting a few more limitations upon our freedom if it's "saving the planet".

As governments put orders of magnitude more finance into climate "research" than the hated oil companies it's not difficult to surmise that "he who pays the piper calls the tune" works for both sides of the argument... And one side's piper is being paid a lot more than the other's.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 27, 2007 16:44 
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pogo wrote:
"Climate Change" has to be the greatest potential bonanza for taxation and control of society since the invention of taxation, after all who's going to argue about paying a bit more tax or accepting a few more limitations upon our freedom if it's "saving the planet".


The same people that are :censored: off with the "taxes" being applied for the "benefit of road safety" or the restrictions of individual freedoms on the basis of "preventing terrorism".

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 27, 2007 20:10 
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pogo wrote:
"Climate Change" has to be the greatest potential bonanza for taxation and control of society since the invention of politics, after all who's going to argue about paying a bit more tax or accepting a few more limitations upon our freedom if it's "saving the planet".

Yes, and was described by former Czech President Vaclav Klaus as another totalitarian ideology.

See here

Quote:
As someone who lived under communism for most of his life, I feel obliged to say that I see the biggest threat to freedom, democracy, the market economy and prosperity now in ambitious environmentalism, not in communism. This ideology wants to replace the free and spontaneous evolution of mankind by a sort of central (now global) planning.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 28, 2007 04:06 
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smeggy wrote:
gopher wrote:
Edited for accuracy, we must remember that we only produce a small part of CO2 compared with nature. (3% IIRC)

You're right to highlight the AGW factor.

Do you have a source for the 3% figure? If true it should be quite damning.


A brief search reveals.....

Quote:
About 95 percent of the greenhouse effect — the atmospheric warming due to the trapping of solar energy that makes life possible on Earth — is due to water vapor, 99.999 percent of which is of natural origin.

The other 5 percent of the greenhouse effect is due to carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and other miscellaneous gases.

Although carbon dioxide is the most dominant of these gases by volume, comprising about 99.4 percent, the other gases trap more heat. So the contribution of carbon dioxide to the 5 percent of the greenhouse effect not due to water vapor is much less than 99.4 percent — it's about 72 percent.

Carbon dioxide, therefore, is responsible for roughly 3.6 percent of the greenhouse effect (5 percent, representing the percentage of the greenhouse effect not due to water vapor, multiplied by 72 percent, representing the percentage of that 5 percent due to carbon dioxide).

But carbon dioxide is produced both naturally and by humans. About 97 percent of atmospheric carbon dioxide is natural, in fact. Only about 3 percent is from human activity.

That means that only about 0.11 percent of the greenhouse effect (that is, 3 percent of 3.6 percent) is due to human releases of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

Put another way, about 99.89 percent of the greenhouse effect has nothing to do with carbon-dioxide emissions from human activity.


From here: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,123013,00.html
Which links to the source here: http://www.junkscience.com/

Quote:
Q. What percentage of the CO2 in the atmosphere has been produced by human beings through the burning of fossil fuels?

A. Anthropogenic CO2 comes from fossil fuel combustion, changes in land use (e.g., forest clearing), and cement manufacture. Houghton and Hackler have estimated land-use changes from 1850-2000, so it is convenient to use 1850 as our starting point for the following discussion. Atmospheric CO2 concentrations had not changed appreciably over the preceding 850 years (IPCC; The Scientific Basis) so it may be safely assumed that they would not have changed appreciably in the 150 years from 1850 to 2000 in the absence of human intervention.

In the following calculations, we will express atmospheric concentrations of CO2 in units of parts per million by volume (ppmv). Each ppmv represents 2.13 X1015 grams, or 2.13 petagrams of carbon (PgC) in the atmosphere. According to Houghton and Hackler, land-use changes from 1850-2000 resulted in a net transfer of 154 PgC to the atmosphere. During that same period, 282 PgC were released by combustion of fossil fuels, and 5.5 additional PgC were released to the atmosphere from cement manufacture. This adds up to 154 + 282 + 5.5 = 441.5 PgC, of which 282/444.1 = 64% is due to fossil-fuel combustion.

Atmospheric CO2 concentrations rose from 288 ppmv in 1850 to 369.5 ppmv in 2000, for an increase of 81.5 ppmv, or 174 PgC. In other words, about 40% (174/441.5) of the additional carbon has remained in the atmosphere, while the remaining 60% has been transferred to the oceans and terrestrial biosphere.

The 369.5 ppmv of carbon in the atmosphere, in the form of CO2, translates into 787 PgC, of which 174 PgC has been added since 1850. From the second paragraph above, we see that 64% of that 174 PgC, or 111 PgC, can be attributed to fossil-fuel combustion. This represents about 14% (111/787) of the carbon in the atmosphere in the form of CO2.


From here: http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/pns/faq.html - Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center

Mike.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 06:50 
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'Scepticism' over climate claims

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The public believes the effects of global warming on the climate are not as bad as politicians and scientists claim, a poll has suggested.
The Ipsos Mori poll of 2,032 adults - interviewed between 14 and 20 June - found 56% believed scientists were still questioning climate change.

There was a feeling the problem was exaggerated to make money, it found. :o

The Royal Society said most climate scientists believed humans were having an "unprecedented" effect on climate.

The survey suggested that terrorism, graffiti, crime and dog mess were all of more concern than climate change.

Ipsos Mori's head of environmental research, Phil Downing, said the research showed there was "still a lot to do" in encouraging "low-carbon lifestyles".

"We are alive to climate change and very few people actually reject out of hand the idea the climate is changing or that humans have had at least some part to play in this," he added.

"However, a significant number have many doubts about exactly how serious it really is and believe it has been over hyped."

People had been influenced by counter arguments, he said. :D

Royal Society vice-president Sir David Read said: "People should not be misled by those that exploit the complexity of the issue, seeking to distort the science and deny the seriousness of the potential consequences of climate change.

"The science very clearly points towards the need for us all - nations, businesses and individuals - to do as much as possible, as soon as possible to avoid the worst consequences of a changing climate."


Looks like they are starting to panic..... :lol:

Is the tide turing on global warming hysteria?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 07:45 
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Gizmo wrote:
"The science very clearly points towards the need for us all - nations, businesses and individuals - to do as much as possible, as soon as possible to avoid the worst consequences of a changing climate."



Which is not the same thing as "man is causing all the problems". Yes, we do need to look at doing as much as possible to survive natural climate change.


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 09:34 
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patdavies wrote:
Gizmo wrote:
"The science very clearly points towards the need for us all - nations, businesses and individuals - to do as much as possible, as soon as possible to avoid the worst consequences of a changing climate."



Which is not the same thing as "man is causing all the problems". Yes, we do need to look at doing as much as possible to survive natural climate change.



Nature doesn't partake in knee-jerk reactions. As far as I'm aware, all or most scientists agree it's too late to stop what's happening, man-made or otherwise, so we may as well accept that the trend will continue, and make the most of what time we have left.

I intend to go out with a smile on my face and an empty wallet.

Cheerful chappie aint I? (Spell check wanted to call me a cheerful crappie) :roll:

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 10:26 
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I've been thinking about this usual red herring about the 'oil lobby' et al sponsoring anti climate change research. This thread has made me think that actually the oil lobby's vested interest is nothing compared to the 'greens' and the government who would tax and control us.

Now lets get something very very clear.

IF climate change (man made or otherwise) was as serious a threat to humanity as is made out then things would be done and done now. Do you really think that if governments had proof that the world was going to fry in 50 years and that we could stop it we wouldn't see draconian laws???

Do you think we'd be 'engaging' with China or 'having a national debate'

Bollocks.

I's complete rubbish.

Al Gore is wrong...Made Made Climate Change is a very Convenient Untruth. A devise to push through all sorts from nuclear power*, to psuedo Communist ideals.

The public are now waking up to it.

The problem with our green fundamentalists is that they over egged it. They went too far with all the 'end of days' stuff.

the far left failed, CND failed and now this will fail.




* I'm far from anti nuclear but was making the point that allsorts are now jumping onto the climate band wagon (albeit a bio fuel powered one)


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 10:53 
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I've been looking at "green", not endorsed by the Green Party I notice, solutions to reducing carbon footprints around the house. I have found that I could use*:
1) Solar panels on the roof to heat water all year round which will reduce my gas bill.
2) Ground (geo-thermal) heating which will heat the house in the winter and cool the house in the summer and will reduce my gas bill.
3) A composting bin which will even take meat and compost it ready for a garden compost heap which will save me money when the local council brings in the chip and bin system.
4) Wind generators which could be use to power small areas of the house but aren't entirely practical due to the fact you need a considerably large one, approx 10 ft diameter, to get any worthwhile electricity from them.
5) Rain water catchment systems. Used to flush toilets, fill washing machines or dishwashers. Won't save me much money but will reduce the load on the incompetent water authorities in times of drought each year.

One thing I have not noticed is that any of this information is recommended by the government or given any airtime on news reports into climate change. We only seem to ever get images of massive floods, massive droughts or the news clip favourite, ice falling from a glacier.

If the government were serious about reducing our carbon footprint then the grants that they currently give out each month would be significantly more substantial. I would also expect them to promote these methods via an information leaflet and to insist that they are incorporated in any new builds when it is easiest to implement. Imagine building an estate where all the gardens and roads are plumbed into ground heating systems.

As most people seem to be aware, the government is only interested in jumping on this bandwagon because it can get more tax and can restrict the freedoms of the individuals via taxation.

* I would like to install some of these systems in the house where I live however, the house I live in is rented and if it was I do not have the money for the initial outlay so the only way I can see this working nationally is for the government to heavily subsidise it in the same way they subsidise nuclear power and public transport; assuming they are serious of course.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 12:07 
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R1Nut wrote:
As most people seem to be aware, the government is only interested in jumping on this bandwagon because it can get more tax


As is proved by this report.

The more ludicrous the claims are the more people will be turning their back on climate change hysteria.

Recently I have heard....

#The River Thames WILL dry up (they are 'avin a larf)

#1 billion displaced people because of food shortages and expansion of deserts.

#Mass extinction of species

#Water levels up 3 meters

#Massive loss of life through the spread of disease

#Uk gets Mediterranean climate (bring it on!)

All in the next hundred years :lol: .....................hell they can't get the weather right for the next two weeks!

They are just taking the piss now. They actually claim that “X” percent reduction in carbon will result in “Y” reduction in temperatures. All this and they have not actually decided 100% that carbon has ANY influence on temperatures.

With reports like this in the media a lot of people will now know that they are in the majority (contrary to the hype). Lets hope it will open up the debate to a fairer level of reporting.....then pigs may just fly.

Oh..and by the way they also predicted a severe winter of 06/07 and a blistering summer in 07 equal to or better than that of 2003........ :roll:

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 12:19 
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civil engineer wrote:
Now lets get something very very clear.

IF climate change (man made or otherwise) was as serious a threat to humanity as is made out then things would be done and done now. Do you really think that if governments had proof that the world was going to fry in 50 years and that we could stop it we wouldn't see draconian laws???


Sorry, but no.

We, as a race, are reactive - not proactive. The worlds population is sucking the lifeblood from our world but does anyone, (especially in politics) dare to say there are too many people? China have a policy but they prefer less girls and more boys, so I understand, so whether it's actually about sheer numbers is a moot point.

As individuals, sure, we care about the world we leave behind for our children. But I see NIMBY at work here.

I'm convinced that 'they' know the world is going to get worse but so long as 'they' have their own health, wealth and security, they prefer to keep their collective heads in the sand.

It's comparable to a smoker who knows it's a bad habit but hey - that's tomorrow, live for today. The people who see it happening and genuinely care are not in a position of real power. That's why we're in the mess we are today.

Oppenheimer invented the A-bomb, but not for its destructive power towards mankind - that was politicians doing what they do best and they're still doing the same. Only the tools have changed... :scratchchin:

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 12:49 
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As a further example...

San Francisco is a disaster waiting to happen but do we see politicians, or people for that matter, doing anything about it? If or When the big one happens, as scientists have predicted is due any time now, the potential death and destruction stands to make 9/11 look small by comparison - but who's doing anything about it?

I'm sure others can come up with further examples of this apathy but I think I make a valid point, sadly :cry:

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 15:19 
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Thats what I mean.

If we really were really on the precipice of armageddon as is suggested then we would be reacting.

Its all complete rubbish


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 15:37 
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civil engineer wrote:
Thats what I mean.

If we really were really on the precipice of armageddon as is suggested then we would be reacting.

Its all complete rubbish


Oh sorry bud. I missunderstood you :stupidme:


I've a feeling I'm going to be able to knit a jumper at the end of this thread :)

As a generalisation, I don't think we need to look at the bigger picture, merely extrapolate the smaller one. Very few of us leave the world in the same state that we entered it? One single so-called civilized human leaves a trail of mess which pollutes our world for the longest time. I am as complicit in this as the rest of us here so none of us should be too proud about how wonderful we are for doing our bit when in actual fact we are all doing more harm than good every single day, whether we admit it or not.

As I see it, all we can do is minimise the damage we personally do. I cycle, where others would drive; I don't buy products with excessive packaging, preferring instead to use my local grocers and butcher instead of supermarkets. It keeps the small guy in business, there's less packaging and I find it's cheaper. I could go on but the bottom line is for all my efforts I'm still more of a parasite to our world than someone living in the third world. There's only so much you can do and the rest is up to higher command.

Three years ago a friend of mine, who is passionate about being as green as possible in this country, decided to change the way he powers his home. He forked-out £7500 to install solar panels on his roof. He had a £500 grant from a government initiative called Clearskies. Depending on how the price of electricity goes up, he worked out that he will not recover his outlay for approximately 15 years.

To his credit, the environment mattered more to him and he was also in a position to afford it but how many of us can do that and where's the incentive? He tells me the installation price has halved now but it's still not much of an incentive when you're on a tight budget. :(

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 16:23 
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R1Nut wrote:
pogo wrote:
"Climate Change" has to be the greatest potential bonanza for taxation and control of society since the invention of taxation, after all who's going to argue about paying a bit more tax or accepting a few more limitations upon our freedom if it's "saving the planet".


The same people that are :censored: off with the "taxes" being applied for the "benefit of road safety" or the restrictions of individual freedoms on the basis of "preventing terrorism".


yeah been pondering the same for a while, the whole enviromental thing is just another subtle tool of totalitarian control.

Regarding the %'s mentioned above, i did read somewhere 60% of mans co2 output is directly attributable to warfare?

Heard on the radio today that 56% of people aren't buying into the big global warming scare story, which struck me as high.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 19:56 
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hairyben wrote:
Heard on the radio today that 56% of people aren't buying into the big global warming scare story, which struck me as high.


Recently ITV news went into global warming overdrive. On the spot reporting of the ice cap melting, interviews with anybody and everybody that promotes man made climate change theory. Features on how to go "green". A whole week of bollocks.

At the end of it they did an on-line survey. Then 60% of people who voted refused did not believe mankind was responsible for climate change..... :lol:

Just goes to show how out of touch the media actualy are.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 20:22 
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Things I agree with.

Taking care of our 'local environment' smog, locall emmissions, chemical spils etc.

Cutting out waste - better fuel economy, better insulation etc etc

Energy security - better energy mix more nuclear, more renewables (if viable)

All these things make perfect and logical sense to me as a professional and in my personal life.

What I absolutely and fundamentally object to is the big Global warming lie.

I don't need a Bogey Man!!


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 03, 2007 23:08 
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johnsher wrote:
vistaed wrote:
What has the green movement got to gain?

power, control, money... Have you noticed just how much money Al Gore is making for "spreading the word" - and that's just appearance fees, never mind the companies he's setup to profit from his agenda.

vistaed wrote:
What has the oil lobby got to gain?

money presumably... (terrible, evil capitalists that they are)

vistaed wrote:
And who really has the greatest personal vested interest in winning this argument?

the greens for it is they who want to change the status quo, destroy capitalism and, at their most extreme, exterminate us all.


Spot on, Jonsher. I would just add the following:

The "greens" stand to gain the publicity, recognition and staus they crave. Suddenly, they are the "experts" rather than the "loonies". As you hint, the far Left, bereft of their original "cause", have jumped on the green/AGW bandwagon as it provides a very convenient stick with which to beat the rich; the west in general and the USA in particular; capitalists/capitalism; car owners; and anyone else they don't like. The targets are the same, only the slogans on the banners are different. Patrick Moore ( a founder member of Greenpeace) has much to say on this.
They also seem very keen on reducing the human population (or "popullution" as the more extreme of them like to say); oddly, they don't appear to be setting an example by topping themselves in droves - I wonder why not?

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